Wednesday 6/23/10 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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May 19, 2007
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COMPS:

Dave Cokin Comp
(951) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
(952) HOUSTON ASTROS
Take "(951) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS"


JIM FEIST COMP
(967) PITTSBURGH PIRATES
(968) TEXAS RANGERS
Take "(967) PITTSBURGH PIRATES"
Texas is a big favorite here, but starter Dustin Nippert has been awful, with a 2-3 record and a 5.01 ERA. His control is a big problem, walking 23 in 32 innings. Allowing free passes is a death knell to all pitchers. The Pirates have a quality arm on the hill in Paul Maholm (3.77 ERA), and he's getting better with a 3.32 ERA his last three starts. An excellent matchup for the big dog. Play the Pirates.


Jack Clayton
Bonus Play

Sport: MLB
Game: Cubs at Mariners
Date/Time: 6/23/2010 9:00PM EST
Pick: Cubs and Wells


Rocketman Sports
Free play

Play On: NY Yankees -1 1/2 -120 (Vazquez/Willis) Listed
NY Yankees are 43-27 overall this year while Arizona is now 28-43 on the season. Arizona is 2-13 since 1997 as a home underdog of +175 or more. NY Yankees bullpen has a 2.98 ERA on the road this year. Arizona bullpen has a 7.15 ERA overall this year and a 6.36 ERA at home this season. Javier Vazquez is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA his last 3 starts and I feel he's about to turn his season around as he is 6-6 overall but has a high ERA. Vazquez is 5-3 with a 3.74 ERA overall vs Arizona since 1997. NY Yankees are due for a BLOWOUT. We'll recommend a small play on NY Yankees on the runline tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky


TOM FREESE
Bonus Play

Minnesota starter Francisco Liriano has allowed 5 runs total in his last 5 starts. The Twins are 61-24 their last 85 Interleague games. The Twins are 37-14 their last 51 Interleague games as favorites. The Twins are 8-2 in the last 10 Interleague starts made by Liriano. Milwaukee starter Manny Parra has not pitched past the sixth inning in any start this year. The Brewers are 7-16 their last 23 games as underdogs. Milwaukee is 5-14 with Parra as an underdog. The Brewers are 9-20 their last 29 games vs. the Twins. PLAY ON MINNESOTA - (Liriano vs. Parra)


Golden contender
On Wednesday the free MLB Play is over the total in the Atlanta at Chicago game. Rotation numbers 971/972 at 8:10 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system that plays to the over for road favorites off a road favored loss of 2 or more runs with a total that was 8 or less, if they scored 5 or more runs and their opponent scored 5 or more runs in a home dog win. This system has gone over 9 of the past 12 times. Look for this one to play over the total tonight. On the Wednesday card I have 2 Big MLB System plays. One of the plays is a 100% Diamond Cutter system that wins by 3.3 runs per game. The other has a Super system that has also cashed by 3 runs per game and has 3 Big Power angles attached. Tuesday card cashed nice featuring 2 big totals winners. Tonight we do more damage. Take the over in the Atlanta at Chicago game tonight


MATT FARGO
Free play

The Phillies were able to sneak one out last night over the Indians behind another solid performance from Jamie Moyer who continues to give good efforts to the team. The win snapped a two-game skid but it was also the second straight game without no production from the offense. This was a problem around a week ago that was a three-week issue and they cannot afford it again but something still is not right. Tonight it may need offense as the starter pitching takes a big step down. The Tuesday loss was the third straight for the Indians and the seventh in eight games but the value here is outstanding. Cleveland sends Jake Westbrook to the mound and it has certainly been a trying season for the veteran righty. He has been up and down all year as he has been unable to string together a good run but he has shown the ability to bounce back from poor outings and he will look to do it again here. He is coming off a game where he allowed five runs against the Mets and in his two previous games where he allowed at least five runs, he followed those up with quality efforts the next time out and both resulting in Cleveland wins. The Phillies counter with Kyle Kendrick and he is the big step down referred to earlier. Overall his numbers are hot horrible but he has been extremely inconsistent and because of that alone, he should have no business laying this kind of number. He has been favored this big only twice and it resulted in one good outing and one bad outing, posting a combined 7.45 ERA. Cleveland also falls into a very solid underdog situation. Play against National League teams that are averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 rpg and have posted an on-base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games going up against an American League starter with an ERA between 4.30 and 5.70). This situation is 42-18 (70 percent) since 1997. 3* Cleveland Indians


Cajun sports
Bonus Play

The San Francisco Giants took Game 1 of this series on Tuesday night behind Tim Lincecum 3 to 1. Lincecum outpitched Houston’s Roy Oswalt for the Giants seventh consecutive victory over the Astros this season. San Francisco will send Barry Zito to the bump with his 7-3 record and ERA of 3.13 on the year. Houston’s Brett Myers will attempt to turn the tables and give the home team a win for the first time this season versus the Giants. Houston is 7-20 as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. San Francisco is 56-31 when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. We will back the better team and take San Fran to the bank on Wednesday night as they grab another victory over the Astros.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* San Francisco Giants 5 Houston Astros 3


CRAIG TRAPP
Bonus Play

FLA -123: Love playing against the bottom feeders like this Orioles team. FLA is only 5-5 the last 10 but BALT is a terrible 2-8. Lineup comparison shows us a positive at nearly every position for the Marlins today. Pitching might be a toss up but Matusz for BALT has not had a win in his last 11 starts. Nolasco for FLA is really good against BALT going 1-1 with only a 1.93 ERA. This one comes down to timely hitting which is a huge advantage for FLA!
 
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Stephen Nover
Bonus Play

I am on a 31-12-1 run with my free selections.

Tonight I'm attracted to the Houston Astros opening as a home 'dog with Brett Myers on the hill for today's matchup versus San Francisco.

There is justification for the oddsmaker to make the Giants chalk. The Astros are 26-45 and have lost five in a row. The Giants have beaten Houston nine consecutive times, including all seven meetings this season.

Giants starter Barry Zito is 7-3 with a 3.13 ERA. He's in solid form again.

So why the Astros besides being attracted to the price?

Myers is the main reason. He is 3-0 with a 2.89 in seven starts this season at Minute Maid Park. He hasn't allowed more than four earned runs during any of his 14 starts this year. The Astros are 6-0 the past six times Myers has pitched at home.

This will be the Astros' third look at Zito this year. Houston should get a boost with the recent promotions of catcher Jason Castro and third baseman Chris Johnson. These are upgrades at these positions.
2? HOUSTON (LISTING MYERS ONLY)



Karl Garrett Comp

G-Man brings a 25-20-2 comp play run into tonight's baseball action.

For Wednesday night, go with the Giants over the Astros.

San Francisco took the series opener last night, 3-1 behind Tim Lincecum, as they improved to a perfect 7-0 in the season series this year against the Astros.

Since last season, the Giants have won 11 of the 13 meetings against the 'Stros, and the way Houston is playing right now, the G-Man doesn't see much changing this Wednesday night.

Houston enters this one with losses in 5 in a row, and 9 of their last 10, while San Francisco boasts wins in 10 of their last 15.

Barry Zito is already 2-0 in as many starts this season against Houston, working 13 innings of 3 run ball, while his counterpart Brett Myers not only has lost his last pair of starts on the season, but is also 0-1 in his 2 starts against the Giants, working 14 innings while allowing 8 runs to score.

Giants to continue their mastery of the Astros.
3? SAN FRANCISCO




Bobby Maxwell
Bonus Play

My Bonus Play record is a whopping 112-95-3 and tonight I'm adding to the win column with a play on the Mets as they host the Tigers in interleague action.

The Mets are playing some fantastic baseball and just delivered a beating to the Tigers and ace Justin Verlander, winning 14-6 on Tuesday and knocking him out after two innings as he gave up five runs on five hits.

Today, New York has R.A. Dickey (5-0, 2.82 ERA) on the mound, and this guy has been red-hot since joining the rotation. The Mets lost his first start this season but have won the last five. On Thursday in Cleveland he gave up two earned runs in six innings of a 6-4 win over the Indians. In his two home starts this season, he has blanked the Phillies and beaten the Marlins.

On the other side, it’s Jeremy Bonderman (3-4, 4.06 ERA) on the mound. He is just 1-2 on the road with a 6.03 ERA and in his last roadie, the Royals got to him for seven runs on 11 hits in 5.2 innings and beat the Tigers 7-2. Bonderman has faced the Mets twice in his career, allowing 10 runs in 11 innings since 2004.

Detroit is just 3-9 in interleague roadies and 1-4 in its last five road games overall, plus they are 1-8 when Bonderman faces a team with a winning record. For the Mets, they are on streaks of 20-7 overall, 8-1 in interleague games against right-handed starters, 11-5 against winning teams, 21-5 at home, 10-2 in interleague games and 9-1 at home against winning teams.

These two teams have a history against each other, with the Mets taking five of the last seven clashes and four straight in the Big Apple. Play the Mets to take this one tonight with Dickey on the mound.
2? N.Y. METS




Chris Jordan Comp

Nice win with Florida as my complimentary play last night, completing a 4-0 Tuesday night sweep with my 3-0 paid-play sweep highlighting my Tuesday.

To go along with the 600? winner I have for you tonight, I am playing the Twins as my freebie tonight, and want you listing both Francisco Liriano and Manny Parra in this one.

Liriano is in after a great pitching matchup against Colorado's Ubaldo Jimenez. And though he struggled in the first inning of what was being billed as a pitchers' duel, he gave up three runs on four hits in that inning as well as hit two batters and give up a walk.

To his credit, he did settle down after that and gave up only one more hit and two walks in the last six innings of his outing.

He's still overpowering batters, as he's recorded 93 total strikeouts in his 13 starts, while he's walked just 24 batters this season.

I'd much rather side with Liriano and that sharp, late-breaking slider he challenges batters to hit, not to mention that fading changeup he serves up so well against right-handed hitters, instead of Parra, who is 1-5 with a 3.91 ERA on the year.

Make note, the last time he scored a won was in Minnesota, when he was coming out of the bullpen. Thus, I think the Twins might be out for a bit of revenge in this one, not to mention for the pure and simple fact the Brewers won last night's series-opener.

Take the road team, as I have the better team and better pitcher on my side.
2? MINNESOTA (LIST LIRIANO AND PARRA)




BRETT ATKINS
Bonus Play

Come along for an interleague FREE winner tonight as I go with the Braves on the road in Chicago to take on the White Sox.

Look for the Braves and ace Tim Hudson (7-2, 2.34 ERA) to dominate today in Chicago as they take out the White Sox and lefty Mark Buehrle (5-6, 4.71 ERA).

Hudson is 3-1 on the road this season with a 2.61 ERA and on Thursday he allowed one run in seven innings of a 3-1 victory. In his last road start, Hudson gave up two runs in eight innings in Minnesota.

Buehrle has a 5.11 ERA at home and he’s allowed 12 runs on 20 hits in 8.1 innings over his last two home outings.

Atlanta has the National League’s top record and they are on runs of 5-1 in interleague play, 19-7 overall, 21-8 when Hudson gets five days off and 7-2 when he’s a road favorite.

Chicago has dropped eight of Buehrle’s last 10 as an underdog and four of five when he faces a winning team. Play the Braves and Hudson tonight to get this winner.

4? ATLANTA (on a 1? to 5?)



Charlie's sports
Free MLB Pick

Tigers @ Mets-120. The (38-31) Detroit Tigers are not looking bad in the AL Central and have been making some strides in the 2010 MLB Picks. The (40-30) New York Mets are on top in the NL East and are playing just as well as the Detroit Tigers, Mets win-120







MIKEY SPORTS

Minnesota Twins -141





PURE LOCK

Texas Rangers -170




R&R TOTAL

Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals Total 7½ under
 

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